Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 13.826230 15.625272 17.662231 20.158720 23.162609 26.695046 31.215177
2025-06-15 11.423047 13.670321 16.429323 20.130745 25.070335 31.593863 41.146960
2025-06-22 9.683817 11.990557 14.964990 19.189317 25.223841 33.858342 47.817444
2025-06-29 8.406779 10.668447 13.691246 18.171608 24.917466 35.209323 53.286326
2025-07-06 7.529096 9.751745 12.813106 17.519582 24.940301 36.937394 59.719096
2025-07-13 7.573226 10.088196 13.700096 19.549241 29.414605 46.827238 84.265846
2025-07-20 7.254080 9.860215 13.718647 20.213542 31.748608 53.581788 105.703200
2025-07-27 6.707120 9.240206 13.067855 19.683337 31.863181 56.102009 118.694362
2025-08-03 6.477518 9.074630 13.100859 20.297544 34.181782 63.726888 148.885006
2025-08-10 6.097577 8.643009 12.660951 20.017471 34.701900 67.558243 170.806237
2025-08-17 5.762534 8.255684 12.256638 19.746903 35.185382 71.440506 195.703890
2025-08-24 5.487016 7.942977 11.948451 19.614074 35.931079 76.203083 227.731521
2025-08-31 5.144769 7.512586 11.427194 19.060498 35.766493 78.847983 255.501016
2025-09-07 4.915239 7.253449 11.183686 19.026069 36.795767 85.265913 308.344325
2025-09-14 4.581402 6.798642 10.558526 18.154302 35.692927 85.046221 327.924595
2025-09-21 4.265318 6.356733 9.927353 17.210029 34.274681 83.489845 339.246271
2025-09-28 4.023008 6.027684 9.479315 16.604329 33.613227 84.240801 367.000817
2025-10-05 4.135501 6.312187 10.172601 18.487890 39.721120 110.862662 644.498124
2025-10-12 4.071937 6.283883 10.276879 19.103189 42.608763 127.699771 921.552513
2025-10-19 3.882213 6.020481 9.911124 18.612140 42.234094 130.915361 1055.360822
2025-10-26 3.825023 5.991715 9.998923 19.180955 45.141923 150.610779 1580.570455
2025-11-02 3.681896 5.798922 9.749092 18.921640 45.448022 158.198117 1963.855588
2025-11-09 3.548947 5.618426 9.512568 18.671031 45.742268 166.072751 2469.723979